Jul 30
2007
Will Facebook Succeed?
Two questions for Facebook.
Like everyone else in the universe, I've been thinking a lot about Facebook lately. I get friend invites, messages and other randomness flooding my email daily (at some point I'm going to need to turn off the email alerts). However, I'm less interested in the functionality at the moment. Rather, I've got two specific thoughts about what I need to see from Facebook to believe in their prospects long-term . . .
Off-Site Integration
Apparently they've got some API stuff that makes this possible already, but I haven't seen it. My thought is simple: How do I integrate Facebook into my site rather than just integrating my site into Facebook? I'm not quite sure what I'd like to see from them in this realm, but the way I see it is they've laid the groundwork for a city and only provided one road in.
Advertising Differentiation
Google does one thing better than anyone else on the planet: Help advertisers target customers at the point of consideration. Sure they do other things well (like building applications), but they make their money with the former. So my question to Facebook (as a marketer) is what's your singular point of advertising differentiation? Clearly it's not regular display advertising (which I wouldn't have expected), but what is it? I suspect there's some real possibilities with their listing services, as being able to sell goods to a select group is worthwhile. However, even better might be the ability to actually share revenues with users and have them display ads for brands they trust/care for.
Anyway, not too sure on either of these things, but quite curious to hear everyone else's thoughts.
Update (8/1/07): Valleywag got a sneak peak at Facebook's rate card interesting . . . the news feed is something I hadn't thought about.
Er, you're joking, right?
I'm a long-time reader of your site, and you usually have good content, but this _particular_ post is a trifle more immature than usual.
Facebook has had "off-site integration" since before they had Facebook Applications. It's in a number of sites that have, traditionally, been aimed at college students. http://stu.dicio.us is one example: a note-taking site.
Actually, Facebook has an entire directory of them:
Web Based: http://www.facebook.com/apps/index.php?type=2
Desktop: http://www.facebook.com/apps/index.php?type=1
In terms of "What is Facebook's advertising differentiation?" I think it's easy to assume that they'll expand on: (1) targetting specific consumers. Facebook has a _wealth_ of customer information stored in profiles, groups, and Friend relationships. Favorite movies & music can be used to determine customer choice, and present highly-relevant advertising and (2) enabling people to connect, commercially.
I expect to see the Facebook Marketplace grow, as well as other "connecting" applications. Facebook is, that that sense, in a similar position to Google: (1) they have information connecting the individual to the ad (Google has search queries, Facebook has profile information) and (2) they are connecting the two.
I think the question is less "What does Facebook bring to the table?" and more "Can Facebook execute well enough to lock out competition from Google, Microsoft, Yahoo!, and others?" (all of whom compete directly with Facebook on many levels).