Welcome to the home of Noah Brier. I'm the co-founder of Variance and general internet tinkerer. Most of my writing these days is happening over at Why is this interesting?, a daily email full of interesting stuff. This site has been around since 2004. Feel free to get in touch. Good places to get started are my Framework of the Day posts or my favorite books and podcasts. Get in touch.

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Guess the Newspaper

Take a wild guess what newspaper this excerpt comes from:

Kerry seemed far better prepared than Bush, ready to counter the president’s points while Bush often repeated himself and at times seemed at a loss for words or defensive. The president even audibly sighed at times.

By the time the debate was over, it seemed clear that Kerry had given himself a new lease on life and guaranteed that the campaign has a long way to run.

Kerry was rated the clear winner in a CNN/Gallup poll immediately after the debate. It found that 53 percent said Kerry won the debate, compared with 37 percent who gave the nod to Bush.

. . . . Ready? The New York Post. I would venture to say if the Post is announcing that a Democratic candidate clearly won a debate that it’s a fairly substantial victory.

Although the story follows those paragraphs with this: “But the victory didn’t help Kerry in the overall race — an ABC News poll last night before the debate showed Bush with a 4-point edge, and a survey of the same group of voters after the debate found the president’s margin hadn’t changed.” I’m not sure why a survey of the same people before and after the election should mean anything. Unless these were undecided voters there’s very little chance that even a great debate would change their opinion on two candidates that stand at such opposite ends of the spectrum. As has been reported online fairly often lately, generally the polls are hard to believe. To begin with many poll less than 1,000 people, the minimum for a survey to be considered scientific. You can read more at The Left Coaster and Zogby International.

October 1, 2004