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You have arrived at the web home of Noah Brier. I currently run Alephic, an AI-first strategy and software partner for marketing's most complex challenges. You can read more about me or get in touch. If you want more recent writing of mine, most of that is in my newsletters BRXND marketing x AI and Why Is This Interesting?, a daily email for the intellectually omnivorous.

May, 2009

The Lotto Paradox

I really hoped this article about modeling the flu would be more interesting (especially since one of the teams doing the modeling has used data from Where's George?). The last quote in the piece almost redeemed the whole thing, though: "'People have a very weird perception of large numbers,' he [Dirk Brockmann, the engineering professor who leads the epidemic-modeling team at the Northwestern Institute on Complex Systems] said. 'If you have 2,000 cases of flu in a country of 300 million, most people think they're going to be one of the 2,000, not one of the 299,998,000.'" The lotto paradox?
May 6, 2009
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Noah Brier | Thanks for reading. | Don't fake the funk on a nasty dunk.